Rams vs Eagles Player Props: Key Targets & Fades
Who to Bet On (Targets)
- DeVonta Smith (PHI) Over Receptions (e.g., 5.5): Rams struggle covering slot WRs (bottom 10 DVOA) & Smith thrives there. Strong target volume expected.
- A.J. Brown (PHI) Over Receiving Yards: Rams' vulnerable outside corners (allowing 15+ yards/catch frequently) are exploitable. Brown is the clear #1 deep threat.
- Isiah Pacheco (KC) Under Rushing Yards: If listed. Philly's elite run defense (top 3 in EPA/rush, YPC allowed) stifles traditional backs. Lean under on lower projections.
- Cooper Kupp (LAR) Over Receptions: Short-area passing game becomes crucial for Stafford under pressure. Kupp remains the primary safety valve (high target floor).
Who to Avoid (Fades)
- Kyren Williams (LAR) Over Rushing Yards: Eagles front dominates interior runs (lowest YPC allowed up middle). Efficiency will be extremely hard to achieve. Projection often overvalued.
- Matthew Stafford (LAR) Under Passing Yards (If High): Philly pass rush vs Rams OL mismatch forces quicker throws. Yards often hard to sustain; avoids high projections.
- D'Andre Swift (PHI) Over Rushing Yards (If Projected High): Rams' run defense is solidly above average (ranked top 10). Swift's volume isn't guaranteed; yards might not flow easily.
- Matthew Stafford (LAR) Interception Props: Philly's pass rush causes mistakes, but INTs remain volatile. Avoid unless odds offer significant value.
Key Game Script: Expect Eagles to pressure Stafford relentlessly, forcing short/quick passes (boost slot WRs like Kupp/Higbee). Philly will likely lean on efficient passing over sustained drives featuring Swift. Target Eagles' WRs vs weak Rams corners.
